Categories: Invest

Is it too risky to buy Royal Caribbean shares after soft Q3 results?

On Friday, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (NYSE:RCL) shares edged slightly higher after reporting its fiscal third-quarter results. The company announced its most recent quarterly results before markets opened, missing analyst expectations on revenue and earnings. However, RCL expressed optimism heading into Q4, saying it expects to return to profitability in 2022.

Royal Caribbean posted FQ3 non-GAAP earnings per share of -$4.91 missing the consensus Street estimate of -$4.21. In addition, its GAAP EPS of -$5.59 was $1.92 below expectations, while revenue for the quarter of $456.96 million, missed the Street estimate by $161.92 million.


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The company expects core itineraries to increase by 65%-70% in the fiscal fourth quarter and predicts it will return to profits in 2022.

Royal Caribbean looks overvalued

With the company predicting a return to profitability next year, its shares trade at a steep forward P/E ratio of 107.14, making the stock less attractive to value investors.

In addition, analysts expect its earnings per share to fall by 402.20% this year, before rising 104.50% next year.

Therefore, growth investors could also opt for alternatives in the market. The stock is up nearly 50% over the last 12 months despite the challenging circumstances created by the pandemic.

Source – TradingView

Technically, Royal Caribbean Cruises shares seem to be trading within a descending channel formation in the intraday chart. However, the stock appears to have found strong support off the 100-day moving average, preventing further declines.

Therefore, investors could target potential rebounds at about $90.20, or higher at $95.26. On the other hand, if the stock falls below the 100-day MA, it could find support at $78.11, or lower at$73.00.

Time to bet on a rebound?

In summary, although the Royal Caribbean stock seems to be trading under intense downward pressure, the 100-day MA appears to be holding firm preventing further declines.

Therefore, given the company’s exciting outlook, the stock could bounce back to rally towards the trendline resistance.

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