Categories: Invest

As Alibaba shares decline on new China data privacy laws, should you buy or sell?

On Friday, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BER:2RR) shares edged lower 2.42% after China approved a new bill on data privacy laws. Chinese technology stocks plunged amid rising concerns about the country’s continued regulatory crackdowns. 

The new bill addresses online fraud, information theft, and data collection by domestic technology companies. In addition, it comes at the back of recent regulatory changes covering data security and anti-competitive practices.


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Alibaba shares have continued to plummet because of the crackdowns. As a result, they are now down more than 39% over the last 12 months and 31% this year.

Should you invest in Alibaba shares in Q3 2021?

From a valuation perspective, Alibaba Group shares trade at an exciting trailing 12-month P/E ratio of 18.94. Its forward P/E ratio of 14.22 is also compelling, making the stock attractive to value investors.

Moreover, analysts expect earnings to grow by 16.35% next year, further boosting its short-term growth prospects. However, with a forecast annual growth rate of just 2.41% over the next five years, Alibaba shares trade at a steep PEG ratio of 8.04, making the stock less attractive to growth investors.

Therefore, short-term buyers may target potential rebounds, while long-term investors could look for alternatives.

Source – TradingView

Technical overview: Alibaba stock price forecast for August 2021

From a technical perspective, Alibaba shares seem to have recently dropped from a descending channel formation after a significant decline. As a result, the stock price has now entered oversold conditions in the 14-day RSI. Therefore, a short-term rebound seems inevitable.

Investors can target potential rebound profits at approximately $179.97 or higher at $199.50. On the other hand, extended declines could find support at $135.95 or lower at $116.63.

Alibaba shares traded at $156.58 as of this writing.

Bottom line: the case for buying Alibaba Group stock price rebound

In summary, although Alibaba shares continue to trade under intense bearish pressure, the stock has now dropped to oversold conditions, creating a perfect scenario for a rebound. 

Furthermore, the company’s short-term valuation multiples look exciting, with a P/E ratio of just 18.94 and a forward P/E of 14.22. Therefore, investors could be looking to capitalize on the cheap valuation and the inevitable short-term rebound.

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