Categories: Invest

Airbnb share price forecast after strong Q3 results

Airbnb, Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) shares have advanced more than 17% last trading week, as the company reported better than expected third-quarter results on Thursday. Airbnb’s business continued to grow throughout the third fiscal quarter ​, and the company’s management expects another EPS beat in the next fiscal quarter.

Airbnb’s best quarter yet

Airbnb reported better than expected third-quarter results on Thursday; total revenue has increased by 67.2% Y/Y to $2.24 billion, which was more than expected, while the GAAP EPS was $1.22 (beats by $0.52).


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Revenues have surpassed the third quarter of 2019 by 36%, while the Net income of $834 million was nearly four times larger than a year ago.

This was the best quarter on record for Airbnb, and through the third quarter, volume trends steadily improved each month, driven by the recovery in markets from the pandemic. Brian Chesky, CEO of Airbnb, said:

Q3 was Airbnb’s best quarter yet; our results show that the growing strength of the travel rebound is here, and more people were also interested in hosting than ever before. We saw continued strength in North America and EMEA and an acceleration in Latin America despite a sequential increase in cancellations.

It is important to mention that the adjusted EBITDA  exceeded $1 billion in the third quarter of 2021, compared to $217 million in the second quarter of 2021. This is very important because the adjusted EBITDA provides clearer indications of quarterly performance and shows that Airbnb is on track to become profitable on a fiscal year basis.

The company’s management expects another revenue and EPS beat in the four-quarter together with further adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, compared to the third quarter of 2021.

Vaccination progress and the recovery of international travel in the fourth quarter of 2021 will be key themes for growth, and Airbnb expects to deliver fourth-quarter revenue of between $1.39 billion and $1.48 billion.

This represents strong growth compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 and the fourth quarter of the 2019 year. Airbnb is in a good position to grow its business, but despite this, the coronavirus pandemic continues to pose downside risks.

Bulls control the price action

Data source: tradingview.com

Airbnb shares advanced more than 17% since the beginning of November 2021, and according to technical analysis, the bulls remain in control of the price action for now. Rising above $210 supports the positive trend, and the next price target could be around $220.

On the other side, if the price falls below $180, it would be a “sell” signal, and we have the open way to $160.

Summary

Airbnb continues to improve its position in the market, and the company reported better than expected third-quarter results on Thursday. This was the best quarter on record for Airbnb, and according to technical analysis, the bulls remain in control of the price action for now.

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